Showing posts with label Timing Solution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Timing Solution. Show all posts

Friday, March 1, 2024

Cosmic Cluster Days | March - April 2024

 Cosmic Cluster Day  |   Composite Line Cosmic Noise Channel
= Full Moon | = New Moon
 
The basic assumption of financial astrology is that the infinite multitude of movements, angles and forces between celestial bodies - suns, planets, moons and nodes - have something to do with us and with trends and reversals in financial markets. As above so below. The calculation of the blue summation or composite line in the above chart is derived from heliocentric planetary longitudes only. Of 36 heliocentric planetary cycles, more precisely. As amazing as the correlation between this composite line and e.g. US stock markets at times may look like, this is of course still but a reductionist model and astrological exercise. Nonetheless, it certainly ranks among the best forecast models developed by financial astrologers so far.  
 
The ingredients and the methodology were developed and disclosed by an extraordinary man named Larry Berg ("I discovered the Astro Method on November 19, 1980. At 1:45 p.m., to be exact."). The calculation of the composite line can be done of course manually and graphically with a Nautical Almanac and less complicated, much faster and more exact with software like e.g. an Excel Ephemeris, Alcyone Ephemeris or Timing Solution. Time and date in the chart refer to New York City (EST/EDT).  
 
'Cluster days' have no consistent polarity nor directional bias. Nonetheless swing highs and lows also inside of the 'noise channel' - a more or less arbitrarily and empirically defined bandwidth of values, a filter - may sometimes correlate with market directions and reversals. The mid-March values are the highest in 2024. Upcoming 'cluster days' are: 
 
Feb 25 (Sun)
Feb 29 (Thu)

Mar 02 (Sat) - Mar 03 (Sun) - Mar 04 (Mon)
Mar 07 (Thu)
Mar 09 (Sat) - Mar 10 (Sun) - Mar 11 (Mon) - Mar 12 (Tue) = peak - Mar 13 (Wed) - Mar 14 (Thu) - Mar 15 (Fri) - Mar 16 (Sat)
Mar 19 (Tue) = Spring Equinox
Apr 04 (Thu)
Apr 07 (Sun)
Apr 15 (Mon)
Apr 21 (Sun)
Apr 26 (Fri)
May 15 (Wed)

 The SoLunar Rhythm in March 2024.
 
[ oftentimes true ]
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms.

Monday, January 15, 2024

Quarterly Theory vs S&P 500 | Week January 15 - 19

Time-price relations are fractal and governed by algorithms. The trading week comprises four time quarters (Q1-Q4): Q1 is Monday, Q2 Tuesday, Q3 Wednesday and Q4 Thursday. Friday has a special function and is not part of this cycle. The market maker's time-price algorithm generates two Q1-Q4 patterns: AMD - X and X - AMD in which Q1-Q4 have the following functions: A   =  Accumulation phase; M  =  Manipulation phase; D  =  Distribution phase and X  =  Continuation or Reversal phase. In the weekly AMD - X pattern Q1 Monday is the Accumulation phase. Q2 Tuesday is the Manipulation phase and the first Q2 price is the weeks True Open. Q3 Wednesday has the 'distribution function' and produces the weeks largest directional move. Q3 is easiest and best to trade. X Thursday continues or reverses the Q3 trend. In the weekly X - AMD pattern Q1 Monday is the X day, Q2 accumulates, Q3 manipulates and Q4 Thursday produces the week's largest directional move; easiest and best to trade.    
 
S&P 500 (4 hour bars)
The Monthly Cycle is comprised of four quarters, one week each. 
Q1 is the first full week of the month, Q2 the second week, etc.
Week January 15 - 19 (Mon-Fri) =
 Q2 week with Accumulation function and AMD - X day pattern. 
 
 S&P 500 (30 minute bars)
 
Each trading day comprises four six hour quarters (EST/New York):
Q1 - 18:00 - 00:00 Asia Session
Q2 - 00:00 - 06:00 London Session (first Q2 price = True Open)
Q3 - 06:00 - 12:00 New York AM Session
Q4 - 12:00 - 18:00 New York PM Session
The algorithm generates two Q1-Q4 session patterns:
AMD - X and X - AMD

Each six hour session comprises four 90 minute quarters (EST/New York):
Q1 - 18:00 - 19:30
Q2 - 19:30 - 21:00 (first Q2 price = True Open)
Q3 - 21:00 - 22:30
Q4 - 22:30 - 00:00
The algorithm generates two Q1-Q4 90 minute patterns:
AMD - X and X - AMD

Each 90 minute cycle comprises four  22.5 minute micro-quarters (EST/New York):
Q1 - 18:00 - 18:22:30
Q2 - 18:22:30 - 18:45 (first Q2 price = True Open)
Q3 - 18:45 - 19:07:30
Q4 - 19:07:30 - 19:30 
The algorithm generates two Q1-Q4 22.5 minute patterns:
AMD - X and X - AMD

Timing Solution spectrum forecast in line with AMD - X day pattern
= one possible outcome for week of January 15 - 19
= Jan 19 (Mon) = double inside day = Q1 A day in a Q2 A week 
= Jan 20 (Tue) = Q2 M day = swing down (Judas Swing)
 = Jan 17 (Wed) 7:30 EST = Q3 D day = Low of the Week (LOW) and reversal up
= Jan 19 (Thu) 21:30 EST = Q4 X day = High of the Week (HOW)
 
Reference:

Monday, December 11, 2023

The Geocentric Bradley Barometer │ Turning Points 2024


2023 Nov 13 (Mon) = High
2023 Dec 17 (Sun) = Low
2023 Dec 22 (Fri) = High
2024 Jan 04 (Thu) = Low
2024 Jan 13 (Sat) = High
2024 Jan 22 (Mon) = Low
2024 Jan 29 (Mon) = High
2024 Feb 09 (Fri) = Low
2024 Feb 13 (Tue) = High
2024 Feb 25 (Sun) = Low
2024 May 26 (Sun) = High
2024 Jun 11 (Tue) = Low
2024 Jun 29 (Sat) = High
2024 Aug 19 (Mon) = Low
2024 Aug 29 (Thu) = High
2024 Sep 07 (Sat) = Low
2024 Sep 14 (Sat) = High
2024 Sep 19 (Thu) = Low
2024 Sep 27 (Fri) = High
2024 Oct 01 (Tue) = Low
2024 Oct 05 (Sat) = High
2024 Oct 27 (Sun) = Low
2024 Nov 02 (Sat) = High
2024 Nov 13 (Wed) = Low
2024 Nov 25 (Mon) = High
2024 Dec 08 (Sun) = Low
2024 Dec 18 (Wed) = High
2024 Dec 26 (Thu) = Low

[ calculated and charted for New York City (EST / EDT) with Timing Solution ]

The very well‐known financial astrology indicator known as the Bradley Barometer [or Bradley Siderograph] was created by Donald Bradley in 1947. The theory was that what is happening up in the sky affects human behavior on earth, so Bradley created a barometer that was a combination of transits. By assigning positive values to positive transits and negative values to negative transits he created a weighted net sum oscillator graph. The Bradley also includes the declination of planets. The higher in the sky that a planet appears above the horizon, the more positive the value. The lower in the sky that a planet appears below the horizon, the more negative the value. This Bradley Barometer graph correlated well to the markets even though there was no known physical correlation. The Bradley does very well in forecasting the headwinds or tailwinds of long‐term market moves that can occur over many months […] In recent years, it has shown quite a number of failures. This may be due to a variety of factors. If the Bradley Barometer measures the natural organic flow of the market, then there are certainly external artificial influences that can diminish its effectiveness. Some of these factors may include high‐frequency trading and/or government interference through central bank stimulus. Artificial inflation will cause a market to rise regardless of transits. The market will still oscillate, but with an upward bias. Another important angle to consider about the Bradley is that it designed to be taken in the context of what is happening in the market. The Bradley Barometer is an oscillator. We all know that the market does not oscillate back and forth all the time.

Over the past century, the market has trended higher. However, in between, there are cyclical bull markets and bear markets and sometimes there are consolidation periods. Everything forecast must be taken in its relative context to current market conditions. In a bull market, the down periods in the Bradley may simply mark sideways consolidation periods. It is useful to think of negative planetary transits in the face of a bull market as being nothing more than headwinds that are just a pause in the uptrend. It also follows that in a bull market the periods of the Bradley may mark the largest bull runs. In bear markets, the positive runs in the Bradley model serve as just pauses in the selling. The negative drops in the Bradley mark periods of intense selling in the market. In neutral markets, the Bradley tends to mirror market movement like an oscillator. nevertheless, the Bradley is a very popular model to this day, and many financial astrologers still use it as a backbone to get an overall picture of what the market is doing or what it made do in the future.

 
ooo0ooo
 
Also consider:
New Moons typically mark beginnings of cycles, and Full Moons mark completions. 
In bull markets, New Moons are bottoms, and Full Moons are tops. 
In bear markets, New Moons are tops, and Full Moons are bottoms. 
More often than not, stocks will rise from around the 7th to around the 14th calendar day of a month, 
fall from the 14th to the 20th, and rise from the 20th to the 25th.
Major Red News Releases (NFP, CPI, PPI, PMI, FOMC etc.) and Options Expiration Dates (especially Quad and Triple Witching)
may delay or cancel typical cyclical market behavior and astro signals.

Sunday, September 3, 2023

S&P 500 Cycles Forecast | Sergey Ivanov

S&P 500 / ES Major High = ± Sep 08-11, 2023 (Fri-Mon)

 

The 2nd half of this week [Sep 04-08] is going to be bullish for the index. Talking about the most probable date for expected (at daily time frame) bearish turn we may rely on the Moon cycle at M30 chart. If today's drop is considerable then a local top is was already set. The next date for local high will be reached by the end of Friday [Sep 08] or the very beginning of the next Monday [Sep 11].

Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Bearish Forecast for US Stocks Indexes | Sergey Ivanov

Sergey Ivanov (Nov 30, 2022) - We have two kind of very effective projection lines for the indexes: Self-Similarity vs 2008 year and Fixed Cycles Composite Line. As you can see they suggest an extreme bearish scenario for the next 1.5 months. If it already started or we have some additional expected bullish bounces is answered by temporal cycles projection lines. 

 

See also:

Monday, December 23, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Division of Solar Year 2020 starting from Earth’s Perihelion


32nd Harmonic of Solar Year 2020 | W.D. Gann's Natural Trading Days:
[ 1 Solar Year = 360 Degrees of the Sun's Geocentric Longitude / 32 = 11.25 Decimal Degrees ]
 
2019 Dec 02 (Mon) 07:39:34 = 326.25
2019 Dec 13 (Fri) 13:31:43 = 337.5
2019 Dec 24 (Tue) 18:40:56 = 348.75
2020 Jan 05 (Sun) 01:47:00 = 360 = Earth's Perihelion
2020 Jan 16 (Thu) 04:24:47 = 11.25
2020 Jan 27 (Mon) 09:35:44 = 22.5
2020 Feb 07 (Fri) 15:33:59 = 33.75
2020 Feb 18 (Tue) 06:45:01 = 45
2020 Feb 29 (Sat) 14:52:49 = 56.25
2020 Mar 12 (Thu) 00:40:14 = 67.5
2020 Mar 23 (Mon) 12:04:20 = 78.75
2020 Apr 03 (Fri) 09:00:56 = 90
2020 Apr 15 (Wed) 00:03:59 = 101.25
2020 Apr 26 (Sun) 16:47:04 = 112.5
2020 May 08 (Fri) 11:20:33 = 123.75
2020 May 19 (Tue) 14:47:34 = 135
2020 May 31 (Sun) 12:02:01 = 146.25
2020 Jun 12 (Fri) 10:27:23 = 157.5
2020 Jun 24 (Wed) 09:24:58 = 168.75
2020 Jul 05 (Sun) 16:01:47 = 180 = Earth's Aphelion
2020 Jul 17 (Fri) 15:21:55 = 191.25
2020 Jul 29 (Wed) 14:12:04 = 202.5
2020 Aug 10 (Mon) 12:24:10 = 213.75
2020 Aug 21 (Fri) 16:44:08 = 225
2020 Sep 02 (Wed) 12:28:40 = 236.25
2020 Sep 14 (Mon) 06:37:08 = 247.5
2020 Sep 25 (Fri) 22:55:17 = 258.75
2020 Oct 06 (Tue) 21:19:28 = 270
2020 Oct 18 (Sun) 10:04:18 = 281.25
2020 Oct 29 (Thu) 21:05:34 = 292.5
2020 Nov 10 (Tue) 06:30:12 = 303.75
2020 Nov 20 (Fri) 22:28:34 = 315
2020 Dec 02 (Wed) 05:16:15 = 326.25
2020 Dec 13 (Sun) 11:02:37 = 337.5
2020 Dec 24 (Thu) 16:08:14 = 348.75
2021 Jan 02 (Sat) 07:50:00 = 360 = Earth's Perihelion

Previous Year HERE

Friday, January 4, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Division of Solar Year starting from Earth’s Perihelion

32nd Harmonic of Solar Year 2019 | W.D. Gann's Natural Trading Days:
[ 1 Solar Year = 360 Degrees of the Sun's Geocentric Longitude / 32 = 11.25 Decimal Degrees ]
2019 Jan 03 (Thu) 12:19 [EST] = Earth's Perihelion
2019 Jan 14 (Mon) 17:41 = 11.25
2019 Jan 25 (Fri) 19:33 = 22.50
2019 Feb 06 (Wed) 01:22 = 33.75
2019 Feb 16 (Sat) 16:22 = 45.00
2019 Feb 28 (Thu) 00:30 = 56.25
2019 Mar 11 (Mon) 10:57 = 67.50
2019 Mar 22 (Fri) 22:14 = 78.75
2019 Apr 02 (Tue) 19:01 = 90.00
2019 Apr 14 (Sun) 09:42 = 101.25
2019 Apr 26 (Fri) 02:21 = 112.50
2019 May 07 (Tue) 20:36 = 123.75
2019 May 18 (Sat) 23:54 = 135.00
2019 May 30 (Thu) 21:04 = 146.25
2019 Jun 11 (Tue) 19:14 = 157.50
2019 Jun 23 (Sun) 18:17 = 168.75
2019 Jul 04 (Thu) 18:10 = 180.00 = Earth's Aphelion
2019 Jul 17 (Wed) 00:09 = 191.25
2019 Jul 28 (Sun) 23:09 = 202.50
2019 Aug 09 (Fri) 21:20 = 213.75
2019 Aug 21 (Wed) 01:59 = 225.00
2019 Sep 01 (Sun) 21:49 = 236.25
2019 Sep 13 (Fri) 16:10 = 247.50
2019 Sep 25 (Wed) 08:48 = 258.75
2019 Oct 06 (Sun) 07:16 = 270.00
2019 Oct 17 (Thu) 20:22 = 281.25
2019 Oct 29 (Tue) 07:33 = 292.50
2019 Nov 09 (Sat) 16:05 = 303.75
2019 Nov 20 (Wed) 08:20 = 315.00
2019 Dec 01 (Sun) 15:07 = 326.25
2019 Dec 12 (Thu) 21:02 = 337.50
2019 Dec 24 (Tue) 02:14 = 348.75

2020 Jan 05 (Sun) 02:21 = 360 = Earth's Perihelion

Sunday, December 30, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Average Annual Cycle | Turning Points 2019

The above chart shows the Average Annual Cycle based on S&P 500 Index close values from 1950 to 2018.
Upcoming important turning points in this cycle during 2019 are:
Jan 07 (Mon) High
Jan 14 (Mon) Low
Jan 25 (Fri) High
Feb 09 (Sat) Low
Mar 12 (Tue) High
Mar 29 (Thu) Low
Jun 08 (Sat) High
Jul 01 (Mon) Low
Aug 29 (Thu) High
Oct 28 (Mon) Low
Nov 08 (Fri) High
Dec 23 (Mon) Low

Saturday, December 22, 2018

S&P 500 vs Planets under Fire | The Concept of Combustion

Indian astrology cultivates the idea that a planet in geocentric conjunction with the Sun is burned by
the massive heat and fire, hence it combusts, is losing its luster and shine, and becomes powerless.
The event is called combustion, and the affected planet becomes a combust planet. The Sanskrit word for
combustion is kopa, meaning angry. However, the chart above extends this concept of combustion by
the parallel of declination of planets and the Sun. A parallel aspect is formed between two planets
with the same declination or distance north or south of the ecliptic. If the planets are both North
or both South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read as a conjunction. If they are the same
declination but one is North and one is South, then the contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree
opposition. These aspects are strongest when the orb is kept to 1 degree. They can also magnify the
intensity of any other aspect between the two planets or points. Planets in geocentric conjunctions
of longitude [000] and declination [#] with the Sun are:

2018 Oct 26 (Fri) 10:16 = SUN # VEN + SUN 000 VEN
2018 Nov 03 (Sat) 10:49 = SUN # VEN
2018 Nov 05 (Mon) 00:05 = SUN # MAR
2018 Nov 21 (Wed) 23:55 = SUN # JUP
2018 Nov 25 (Sun) 23:42 = SUN # MER
2018 Nov 26 (Mon) 01:33 = SUN # JUP + SUN 000 JUP
2018 Nov 27 (Tue) 04:14 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER

2018 Dec 02 (Sun) 18:33 = SUN # PLU
2018 Dec 07 (Fri) 11:00 = SUN # SAT

2018 Dec 31 (Mon) 07:37 = SUN # MER
2019 Jan 02 (Wed) 00:49 = SUN # SAT + SUN 000 SAT
2019 Jan 06 (Sun) 22:58 = SUN # SAT
2019 Jan 10 (Thu) 11:35 = SUN # PLU
2019 Jan 11 (Fri) 00:37 = SUN # JUP
2019 Jan 11 (Fri) 06:38 = SUN # PLU + SUN 000 PLU
2019 Jan 22 (Tue) 06:04 = SUN # VEN
2019 Jan 29 (Tue) 21:49 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER
2019 Feb 06 (Wed) 10:59 = SUN # MER
2019 Mar 04 (Mon) 10:51 = SUN # NEP
2019 Mar 06 (Wed) 20:00 = SUN # NEP + SUN 000 NEP
2019 Mar 14 (Thu) 21:46 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER

2019 Mar 18 (Mon) 11:24 = SUN # MER
2019 Mar 22 (Fri) 14:47 = SUN # CHI + SUN 000 CHI
2019 Mar 30 (Sat) 05:53 = SUN # CHI
2019 Apr 21 (Sun) 08:28 = SUN # URA
2019 Apr 22 (Mon) 19:07 = SUN # URA + SUN 000 URA
2019 May 21 (Tue) 09:06 = SUN 000 MER

Previous correlations between the stock market and combustion events HERE

Thursday, November 22, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle | Nov 27 (Tue) Low

This 2000-2018 Analog projects some sort of a low on Nov 27 (Tue),
some sort of a rally into Dec 09 (Sun), another decline into
Dec 22 (Sat), a high on Dec 28 (Fri), and a low on Jan 05 (Sat).

Saturday, May 19, 2018

US Sugar #11 | At or Near Longterm Cycle Low

US Sugar #11 Futures [monthly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [weekly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily close]
US Sugar #11 vs Average Annual Cycle (1973-2018)
US Sugar #11 vs Long Term Cycles (45 Year, 11.25 Year, 40 Month, 18 Month, etc.)
US Sugar #11 vs 45 Year Saturn - Uranus Cycle (heliocentric)

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Wheat vs George Bayer Rule #14 │ July 14 or 17 Low (Fri or Mon)


VENUS MOVEMENTS IN GEOCENTRIC LONGITUDE USING A UNIT OF 1°9’13” 
This rule was found by measuring from the high of March 31, 1937 in Wheat. It is rather complicated for practical use, since exact measurements must be made with degrees, minutes and second [...] We use the single unit 1°9’13” [1.153611 degrees], also five times this unit or 6°55’18” [6.92166 degrees] or [...] 25 times the original 1°9’18” unit which value is 34°36’30” [34.60833 degrees]. All the measurements are to be used for geocentric longitude only. How I arrived at this 1°9’13” value I do not recall [...] During the period a planet moves retrograde we have to DEDUCT our increment, i.e. the values we use. When the motion of the planet is forward we have to ADD them. Be sure not to fail on this else no results can be expected. 
[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination, p. 23 f., Carmel, California]
Update: July 18, 2017 07:02 AM: Wheat +1.78%

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

SPX vs 4.5 Degree Steps of Uranus from 2009 Low

On April 5, 2017 (Wed) Uranus will have moved 31.5 degrees of heliocentric longitude
since the major low in the SPX on March 6, 2009 (Fri).


Sunday, October 23, 2016

The Pattern of US Bankruptcies | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Farghaly (Oct 22, 2016) - I found an interesting pattern in the Gold Miner's index. I realized that at the beginning of the previous two Kondratieff waves the US had defaulted on their obligations. This is the reason why a human brain is superior to spectral analysis, we tend to spot patterns earlier. In 1933 the US Treasury was official declared bankrupt after the emergency banking act was voted into law by congress. "The Emergency Banking Act succeeded in abrogating America’s gold standard and hypothecated all property found within the United States to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Bank." This bankruptcy occurred after world war one as visible on the picture above. The Vietnam war was the culprit of the second American bankruptcy with the closing of the Gold window in 1971 by president Nixon. So much money was printed to fund the war that there was no way the US could redeem holders of US dollar with Gold at the pegged rate of $35 an ounce. We once again have the same pattern recurring at the time of writing. We had the Iraq/Afghanistan war the debt of which has become to big of a burden to service and history will once again repeat with yet another bankruptcy in a few short years. This will obviously have a devastating impact on the entire world since US Treasuries are the largest single asset that people own world wide. I wonder how China will react to such a bankruptcy but I guess only time will tell. I am so certain that this is going to occur not only because of the pattern that we see on the Gold Miner's index but that of Donald Trump's upcoming presidency. 


I analyzed all the similar cyclical circumstances and under all of them the president of the United States was a republican. Those cyclical circumstances include 1861, 1881, 1971 and 2001. This gives us reason to believe that without question the next president of the United States will be Donald J. Trump. We can also look at Hillary Clinton's history to discern if she is likely to make it to the White House. First, We know that the similar cyclical circumstance in terms of the 54 month wave saw Hillary Clinton lose in the primaries against Obama. We also know that she lost against Obama once again in the similar cyclical position in terms of the 9 year cycle. We also know that she left the White House in the similar cyclical circumstance in terms of the 18 year cycle. Now that we are certain that Donald J Trump will win the election we can combine that with what we have discerned from the Gold Miner's index with his history of Bankruptcies. Donald Trump filed for bankruptcy a total of 6 times the last of which was in 2009. W.D. Gann said that the highest correlations occur with the most recent similar cyclical circumstance. The 2009 low is expected to reoccur in 2017 and hence we can expect a bankrupt United States government before the end of next year or the year after at the latest.

Trump's plan for his first 100 days in office (HERE)

Sunday, October 2, 2016

German DAX: Gloom, Boom and Doom | Cyclic Vibrations


Ahmed Farghaly (Oct 02, 2016) - There is no question in most commentator's minds that the growth in Germany has certainly slowed relative to what this great country has enjoyed in the 20th century […] The reason for my post about Germany is because the first domino to fall in the upcoming financial calamity seems to be Deutsche Bank […] The upcoming calamity is not going to be like 2008 which was merely a correction of the 18 year cycle. The decline is likely […] of the 324 year cycle and will make 2008 seem like a tiny little hick up within the unraveling of a much larger cycle correction.


[…] The German DAX is likely to not only decline but have an outright collapse of a magnitude not witnessed in our lives. The S&P/DAX ratio is in favor of the S&P which suggests that we are likely to see a larger decline in Germany. 

German Stocks In Trend Limbo
Source: Dana Lyons' Tumblr.