Showing posts with label Annual Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Annual Cycle. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 21, 2022

Range Extension & Contraction - Reversals - Time Cycles | Stacey Burke

 
oOo
 
Old Baron Rothschild's recipe for wealth winning applies with greater force than ever to speculation. Somebody asked him if making money in the Bourse was not a very difficult matter, and he replied that, on the contrary, he thought it was very easy. "That is because you are so rich," objected the interviewer. "Not at all. I have found an easy way and I stick to it. I simply cannot help making money. I will tell you my secret if you wish. It is this : I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon."

Jesse L. Livermore

oOo

Quoted from:
 
See also:
 
Weekly Cycle and Market Structure in Gold (1 hour chart):
Daily and Weekly Highs and Lows, Daily and Weekly Pivot Levels, Inside Days, Outside Days,
Daily and Weekly Accumulation-, Extension-, and Distribution-Levels, Breakouts, False Breakouts,
V Patterns, M & W Patterns, Peak Formation Highs and Lows.

Sunday, December 30, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Average Annual Cycle | Turning Points 2019

The above chart shows the Average Annual Cycle based on S&P 500 Index close values from 1950 to 2018.
Upcoming important turning points in this cycle during 2019 are:
Jan 07 (Mon) High
Jan 14 (Mon) Low
Jan 25 (Fri) High
Feb 09 (Sat) Low
Mar 12 (Tue) High
Mar 29 (Thu) Low
Jun 08 (Sat) High
Jul 01 (Mon) Low
Aug 29 (Thu) High
Oct 28 (Mon) Low
Nov 08 (Fri) High
Dec 23 (Mon) Low

Saturday, May 19, 2018

US Sugar #11 | At or Near Longterm Cycle Low

US Sugar #11 Futures [monthly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [weekly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily close]
US Sugar #11 vs Average Annual Cycle (1973-2018)
US Sugar #11 vs Long Term Cycles (45 Year, 11.25 Year, 40 Month, 18 Month, etc.)
US Sugar #11 vs 45 Year Saturn - Uranus Cycle (heliocentric)

Saturday, February 11, 2017

Sunday, January 8, 2017

DJIA 2017 | Presidential Cycle + Seasonal Pattern + Decennial Cycle

Seasonal Cycle (1900-2016) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +6.99%
1st Year of the Presidential Cycle (2017) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +5.48%
7th Year of the Decennial Cycle (2017) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +4.82%
"The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you trends that are more
or less active for each year, as the Sun degrees are generally fixed. They fall on about the
same date every year. So this is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern."

Sunday, October 9, 2016

SPX vs 93 Trading Day Cycle + US Election

93 Trading Days135 Calendar Days19.3 Weeks4.5 Months0.37 Years.
Regardless of the election outcome, in November and December the S&P 500 advances 72.2% of the time.
(
Source: Jeff Hirsch - see also HERE)
Stan Harley: November 8 (Tue) = Cycle Low in Stocks + Crude Oil (HERE)

Thursday, September 1, 2016

SPX vs Presidential + Decennial + Annual Cycles | September 2016

September is the only month to show more losing months than winning months
over the past 66 years. It also sports the largest average loss (-0.68%).
October actually has a decent track record (up 41 times - or 62% of the
time - down 25 times, with an average gain of +0.80%). However, this
record is tainted somewhat as many investors - not entirely incorrectly -
have come to refer to October as "Crash Month". To wit, 1929, 1930, 1932,
1933, 1937, 1941, 1978, 1979, 1987, 1997 and 2008 all witnessed sharp
declines in the stock market during the month of October.

Calculation: www.moneychimp.com

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Summer Solstice Full Moon

It is very true, some of the Ancients have Winter and Summer, made the day and night to consist of equal hours.
I mean every hour to consist of sixty minutes, equally; but Astrologists do not so, but follow this method, viz.
according to the motion of the Sun both  Summer and Winter, so do they vary their hours in length or shortness.

One measures the time between sunrise and sunset and divides it into 12 equal parts.
These are the planetary hours (HERE)
June 18 (Sat) was a minor turn day in the geocentric and the heliocentric Bradley Indices,
June 20 (Mon) was a rare Summer Solstice Full Moon, the stock market seems in line with the SolunarMap,
and should move sideways-to-down into Brexit-Thursday, June 23.

Calculated and charted with Timing Solution.
Enlarge

Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Sergey Tarassov - Annual and Moon based Forecast for the SPX 2015-2016

Credits: Sergey Tarassov
Sergey Tarassov - [...] Moon cycles are an enigma for me. The cycle period is just one month; it makes this cycle very appealing for a swing trader. 

I have spent a lot of time trying to find an appropriate model for Moon cycles (for example, applying Walk Forward Analysis module in Composite module). 

This approach looks very promissing; at least it gives stable results (Walk Forward Analysis does not)."

[...] Sometimes cyclical patterns based on the Moon cycle appear (Moon phases, Moon tropical and Moon Draconic cycles), live for some time and then disappear. It looks like the typical time of the existence of this pattern is one year, may be less. It is difficult to say  what mechanism lies behind this phenomenon. Maybe some mass psychology patterns appear, make resonance with some Moon cycle, and this resonance gives to this pattern an energy to exist for some period of time." (HERE)