Thursday, October 20, 2016

The Current Russian Leadership Assessed Upon Principles of Dharma

Born into a kshatriya family - into the
warrior class: Gautama Buddha.
Student (Oct 20, 2016) - I have considered writing on the topic of President Putin and an analysis of his conduct and stature according to the principles of Dharma, loosely analogous to ‘right conduct’ in English. However, in my contemplation I came to realize that whilst President Putin the man is a very charismatic figure, he is representative of a greater, overall leadership structure as exists today in the Russian Federation […] The current Russian leadership is made up of officers of the military and intelligence services of the Russian state, formerly the USSR and now the Russian Federation (however, trained in the Soviet era for the most part) […] This ruling class from the security services – the modern day equivalent of the ‘warrior class’ – is unique in this modern era. One may take the current Russian leadership as akin to the Samurai class that reigned over Japan for 900 years and through principles of Dharma prevented the destruction of Japan during the halcyon years of colonialism. Tokugawa Ieyasu himself took the title ‘victor over the southern barbarians’, in reference to the Portuguese, and under his Shogunate the Japanese closed their borders almost entirely and kept their territorial and cultural integrity, at least until the late 1800s and early 1900s.

I see something similar in the qualities of this current Russian leadership. I see something older, in truth, for I see the principles of Dharma as espoused by those Kshatriyas of old, whose training was martial and whose morality lay in the principles of Dharma. Putin, for example, acts very strictly according to the principles of international law, yet his primary motivation is the pragmatic security of his nation rather than the arbitrary laws set down by vested interests. In this sense, whilst setting an example of polite and constructive conduct at the international level, Putin has demonstrated that the laws of God and the duty to one’s people supersede the laws of men […] Dharma means roughly two things if translated into English. One is ‘right conduct’, as in do the right thing in terms of morality, ethics and the laws of God and nature. It can also mean the natural behavior of an object, thing or entity. For example, the cat’s dharma is to chase the mouse, the leopard’s dharma is to eat meat, the hawk’s dharma is to fly in search of food, the electron’s dharma is to circle the nucleus, the planet’s dharma is to orbit the star, etc. In other words, dharma is the natural conduct of actions in the most natural way. For our purposes, we shall consider Dharma as simply ‘right conduct’ and doing the most natural thing in the most natural way.

Russia as the last defender of the christian faith.
The contemporary Russian Federation is the core territory of the former Russian Empire. As many Russian experts point out, the contemporary territory of Russia does not comprise the entirety of the greater Russian cultural, political and civilizational space […] The current Russian leadership seems to me to comprise of mid-level officers of the former Soviet military and intelligence services. As far as I can tell, as an outsider, it does not contain the sons of the privileged from the Soviet era, but rather the sons of the working class, namely those people who worked hard for a living and their offspring. These include personalities such as President Putin, Sergei Ivanov and minsters Shoigu and Lavrov (although the foreign minister is from the diplomatic branch of the government).

[…] The conduct of the current Russian state in nurturing good moral values (and keeping evil away from children), the traditional nature of all humans since the beginning, clearly shows that the leadership are people in whom the principles of Dharma run true. Contrast this with the modern ‘western values’ that turn good to evil and evil to good and run antithesis to all the laws of nature and God and we can see clearly that the Russian leadership live within Dharmic principles
[…] I recommend you to the Gita of Krishna, the dialogue between Krishna and Arjuna on the fields of Kurukshetra during the Mahabharata war […] Truth is a core principle of Dharma, both seeking for the greater truth in the universe and telling the truth, in other words being bereft of the trait of lies. Putin, we see clearly, speaks the truth. He says what he does. His team likewise follows this principle. Ahimsa is a Sanskrit term much abused by one British backed Mohandas Ghandi. It does not mean ‘non-violence’, it means the least amount of violence. Dharma does not mean running away from evil and injustice, it does not mean sacrificing your nation for sake of some arbitrary reason of ‘non-violence’ or ‘democratic values’ or ‘human rights’ as defined by the western powers and their lackeys. Dharmic ahimsa means taking the action that incurs the least amount of violence. We have seen since the current leadership of the Russian Federation came into power that they have strictly and conscientiously adhered to this principle, be it in Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine or Syria.

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin (Orthodox Christian),
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (Orthodox Christian),
and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu (Buddhist).
Another principle of Dharma is that one should not acquire illegitimate wealth. One need only look at the lifestyles of the former security service personnel in the Russian senior leadership to see that they do not indulge in corruption and acquisition of ill-gotten wealth. This is beyond dispute, despite all accusations to the contrary by those of no moral standing. A key principle of Dharma is to establish and maintain control over one’s senses. In other words, be not the person who indulges overly in senses, be it food, alcohol, sexual activities or other activities that involve the senses. This is not to say that one need be an ascetic and retreat to the mountains, but only that one maintain balance and not let the senses dominate the person. We see from the conduct, both public and private, of the Russian leadership, that discipline of senses is forged deeply into their character. One hopes that the next generation is made of similar metal. A somewhat esoteric principle of Dharma is that of purity in thought, speech and deed. In simple terms, this means that do not think evil thoughts. Be good within and without and do not think ill of others. Have no place inside yourself for greed or envy or other such negative emotions. Whilst we cannot get into the heads of the Russian leadership, we can see their exteriors and often enough the outside reflects within. In regards to Putin, we can see clearly the genuine warmth and human feelings of the man […] There are many further principles of Dharma, such as all should render services to others, all should avoid greed and selfishness and one should consider all the world and all people as one’s family. I will leave it to you to consider these and other Dharmic principles in the assessment of the leadership of the Russian Federation.

I pose that Western assessments of Russian leadership (or anyone for that matter) are irrelevant, as the Western leadership and its various levels of control authority and mechanisms are bereft of moral authority for they are at their core nature Adharmic. Therefore, let the people of the world reject this false moral authority. Let all people, including the ordinary people within the Western powers, consider that their ancient saints and gurus have more to teach and more wholesome spiritual and moral guidance than these Adharmic demons that call themselves moral authorities.

Friday, October 14, 2016

Eroding the Middle Class, Enslaving the Millenials

The share of Americans who own their homes was 62.9 percent in the second quarter, the lowest since 1965. The U.S. homeownership rate fell to the lowest in more than 50 years as rising prices put buying out of reach for many renters. The homeownership rate for the millennials (ages 18-34) fell to 34.1 percent from 34.8 percent a year earlier.

The millennials have two problems: They’re bogged down in student loans, the result of rapacious price increases in higher education. The New York Fed estimates that total student debt from federal and private lenders has reached a record $1.3 trillion. An increasingly large part of that debt sits on top of millennials, turning them into debt slaves. They’re facing confiscatory rents and home prices in many cities, thanks to Fed’s effort to inflate the greatest asset bubbles the US has ever seen, though few millennials make that connection. Two decades ago, a little more than 34% of all new entrepreneurs in the U.S. were younger than 34 years old. Today it’s just 25%. 

According to Jim Clifton, Chairman and CEO at Gallup, the percentage of Americans who say they are in the middle or upper-middle class has fallen 10 percentage points, from a 61% average between 2000 and 2008 to 51% today. Ten percent of 250 million adults in the U.S. is 25 million people whose economic lives have crashed. What the media is missing is that these 25 million people are invisible in the widely reported 4.9% official U.S. unemployment rate. Let's say someone has a good middle-class job that pays $65,000 a year. That job goes away in a changing, disrupted world, and his new full-time job pays $14 per hour - or about $28,000 per year. That devastated American remains counted as "full-time employed" because he still has full-time work - although with drastically reduced pay and benefits. He has fallen out of the middle class and is invisible in current reporting. More HERE

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

One Belt, One Road | Eurasian Century Unstoppable

There has never been a period in which China’s diplomats were more active on the global stage.
Under President Xi, the Chinese leadership has substantially stepped up its foreign policy
ambitions, heavily expanding the scope of its activities in the region and its global reach.
By altering long-standing traditions of relative restraint and adjusting key foreign policy
priorities, Beijing is engineering a new course in global affairs.
Enlarge map.

Moritz Rudolf (Oct 04, 2016) - In autumn 2013, Chairman of the CCP and President of the PRC, Xi Jinping, announced the “One Belt, One Road (OBOR)” initiative. This core element of a more pro-active Chinese foreign policy comprises of the land-based “Silk Road Economic Belt”, and the “Maritime Silk Road of the 21st Century”. The OBOR initiative by far exceeds the development of linear connections between Europe and Asia. In fact, Beijing strives to establish a comprehensive Eurasian infrastructure network. Trans-regional corridors are to link the land and sea routes. As the primary investor and architect of the Eurasian infrastructure networks, Beijing is creating new China-centred pipeline, railway and transport networks. In addition to this the Chinese leadership is focused on the expansion of deep-sea ports, particularly those in the Indian Ocean.

With the OBOR the Chinese leadership is primarily pursuing three main goals: (1) Economic diversification;
(2) Political stability and (3) the Development of a multi-polar global order. From an economic perspective, China strives that the development of new trade routes, markets and energy sources will result in growth impulses and at the same time reduce dependencies. Projects linked to the OBOR are to once again fill the order books of Chinese SOEs which are presently suffering from over-capacities. Furthermore, with the expansion of the Eurasian transport infrastructure Beijing aims to lay the foundations for China-centered production networks, for instance with Chinese companies relocating production to South-East Asia. Politically speaking, the Chinese leadership hopes that the OBOR initiative stabilizes Beijing’s western Provinces, as well as the neighboring trouble spots, like Pakistan or Afghanistan. As China finances most infrastructure projects Beijing is also able to increase its political influence. Many countries along the Silk Roads depend on Chinese infrastructure investments.

The overarching goal is to be an active part in the establishment of a multi-polar world-order. China seeks to play a constructive role in the reform the international system. The OBOR-Initiative is intended to be the foundation of a new type of international relations. The Chinese leadership speaks of the establishment of a “community of common destiny”. Core elements are more connectivity in Eurasia, “win-win-cooperation”, “mutual progress and prosperity” as well as upholding the UN principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of other states. So far, the OBOR-initiative has not been embedded in an overarching international framework and primarily is a concept, a meta-strategy. It is still unclear whether the initiative will be realized through a bilateral or multilateral process. The Chinese leadership speaks of an inclusive process, which means, that all involved parties are invited to shape and promote the “Silk Road Economic Belt” and the “Maritime Silk Road of the 21st Century” in line with their own economic interests. First steps of institutionalization are already emerging. The recently established AIIB and the Silk Road Fund serve to finance the projects. In May, China and Russia agreed to link the Silk Road Initiative with the Russian Far East Development Program for Siberia. In addition to this Moscow and Beijing agreed to link the Eurasian Economic Union with OBOR. Moreover, in June Hungary and China signed a Memorandum of Understanding to jointly promote the Silk Road Initiative.

A brilliant plan: Xi Jinping’s ambitious strategic initiative – an adaptation of the historical
Silk Road – could sow the seeds for a new geopolitical era. Enlarge map.
While central banks continue to "print" liquidity, now at a pace of nearly $200 billion per month, they are
unable to print trade, perhaps the single best indicator of deteriorating global economic conditions. The
latest confirmation comes from China: In 2015 China’s import growth slowed starkly, driven by both
external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of demand. Econometric results point to weak investment
and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China’s rebalancing are
estimated for some 60  countries using value-added trade data, and are found to be more negative on Asia and
commodity exporters than others (HERE).
William Engdahl (Oct 11, 2016) - The totality of the strategy behind Xi Jinping’s Eurasian One belt, One Road rail, sea and pipeline initiative (OBOR), which is moving quietly and impressively forward, is transforming the world geopolitical map. In 1904 a British geographer, Sir Halford Mackinder, a fervid champion of the British Empire, unveiled a brilliant concept in a speech to the London Royal Geographical Society titled The Geographical Pivot of History. That essay has shaped both British and American global strategy of hegemony and domination to the present. It was complemented by US Admiral Alfred Thayer Mahan’s 1890 work, The Influence of Sea Power Upon History, which advocated “sea power,” stating that nations with domination of the seas, as the British Empire or later the USA, would dominate the world.

The One Belt, One Road, by linking all the contiguous land areas of Eurasia to the related network of strategic new or enlarged deep-water ports of OBOR’s Maritime Silk Road, has rendered US geopolitical strategy a devastating blow at a time the hegemony of America is failing as never in its short history. The Eurasian Century today is inevitable and unstoppable. Built on different principles of cooperation rather than domination, it just might offer a model for the bankrupt United States and the soon-bankrupt European Union, to build up true prosperity not based on looting and debt slavery.

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has 57 member states (all "Founding Members") and was
proposed as an initiative by the government of China. The bank started operation on 25 December 2015;
the capital of the bank is $100 billion, equivalent to  2⁄3 of the capital of the Asian Development
Bank and about half that of the World Bank (HERE).
The United States is the number one trading partner for 56 countries, with important relationships
throughout North America, South America, and Western Europe. Meanwhile, China is the top partner
for 124 countries, dominating trade in Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa, and Australia

SPX vs Astrometric Indicator | Update - October 12, 2016

Upcoming turn-days:
Oct 13 (Thu) H, Oct 14 (Fri) L, Oct 15 (Sat) H, Oct 16 (Sun) L, Oct 17 (Mon) H, Oct 18 (Tue) L, Oct 21 (Fri) H.
See also HERE.
Neural Network-Forecast for SPY = inverted polarity | by Alphee Lavoie (HERE)

Does the Stock Market predict the US Presidential Election?

Almanacist | The UK Stock Market Almanac (Oct 12, 2016) - The 14 charts above show the performance of the FTSE All-Share index over the 12 months of a US presidential election year. For example, the first chart shows the January-December performance of the UK market in 1960, the year John Kennedy was elected President of the United States. The dashed line in each chart indicates the date of the election.

However, "Trump is headed for a win", says Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor
of history at American University, who has predicted 30 years of presidential
outcomes correctly (HERE)

Monday, October 10, 2016

SPX vs Solar Activity | Sunspots | 10.7 cm Flux | Ap Index

Raj Times and Cycles forecasted the next short term Low for October 10 (Mon) +/-1 TD (HERE)

The Presidential, Decennial, and Annual Cycles all point to a low in US-stocks on Monday, October 10 (HERE).

Sunday, October 9, 2016

SPX vs 93 Trading Day Cycle + US Election

93 Trading Days135 Calendar Days19.3 Weeks4.5 Months0.37 Years.
Regardless of the election outcome, in November and December the S&P 500 advances 72.2% of the time.
Source: Jeff Hirsch - see also HERE)
Stan Harley: November 8 (Tue) = Cycle Low in Stocks + Crude Oil (HERE)

Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Senescience | Greying of the Nobel Laureates

Sources: The Economist & The Official Web Site of the Nobel Prize
Yesterday the Nobel committee at the Karolinska Institute in Sweden named 71-year-old Yoshinori Ohsumi the recipient of this year’s Nobel prize in medicine. No one under the age of 50 has ever been awarded the economics prize. A mere nine of the 112 literature winners have been younger than 50. For middle-aged scientists, the chances are relatively rosier, but have still been declining over time, partly because they begin their research careers later than they did in the 20th century. Since 2000, only 8% of the award-winners in chemistry, physics and medicine were under 50, compared with 36% of those who won the prizes in the last century. The peace prize is the exception. Unlike their scientific peers, prize-winning peace advocates do not require advanced university degrees. Its recipient in 2014, 17-year-old Malala Yousafzai, is the youngest person to ever win a Nobel. The oldest, economist Leonid Hurwicz, was 90.

Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur | Jeff Hirsch

Source: Jeff Hirsch's Almanac Trader
One saying for equities on Wall Street has historically been to “sell Rosh Hashanah" (Oct 3-4, 2016 (Mon-Tue)), and to "buy Yom Kippur" (Oct 12, 2016 (Wed)). Or was it vice versa?

Jeff Hirsch presents the data back to 1971: "When the holiday falls on a weekend the prior market close is used. It’s no coincidence that Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur fall in September and/or October, two dangerous and opportune months. We then took it a step further and calculated the return from Yom Kippur to Passover.

[...] Perhaps it’s Talmudic wisdom but, selling stocks before the eight-day span of the high holidays has avoided many declines, especially during uncertain times. While being long Yom Kippur to Passover has produced more than twice as many advances, averaging gains of 7.0%. It often pays to be a contrarian when old bromides are tossed around, buying instead of selling Yom Kippur – and selling Passover." 

Sunday, October 2, 2016

German DAX: Gloom, Boom and Doom | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Farghaly (Oct 02, 2016) - There is no question in most commentator's minds that the growth in Germany has certainly slowed relative to what this great country has enjoyed in the 20th century […] The reason for my post about Germany is because the first domino to fall in the upcoming financial calamity seems to be Deutsche Bank […] The upcoming calamity is not going to be like 2008 which was merely a correction of the 18 year cycle. The decline is likely […] of the 324 year cycle and will make 2008 seem like a tiny little hick up within the unraveling of a much larger cycle correction.

[…] The German DAX is likely to not only decline but have an outright collapse of a magnitude not witnessed in our lives. The S&P/DAX ratio is in favor of the S&P which suggests that we are likely to see a larger decline in Germany. 

German Stocks In Trend Limbo
Source: Dana Lyons' Tumblr.

Saturday, October 1, 2016

SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | October 2016

Last prediction HERE

Dubai Financial Market Index: 70% Decline Expected | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Farghaly (Oct 01, 2016) - As visible the immediate projection for the Dubai Financial Market General Index (DFMGI) is a similar catastrophe as 2008! This would mean that the money to be spent on the new projects and on the infrastructure for the Expo 2020 is certainly not enough to keep the economy going. Our conservative projection is a 70% decline from current levels despite all the money being spent. The world expo in Dubai will occur at a time when the global economy will be at distress and hence revenues will likely not make up for the costs of hosting the event and will most likely lead to another Dubai debt crisis. 

In April 2006 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast presented the above close-up of two "Skyscraper" tip-offs [Malaysia's Petronas Towers and Taiwan's Taipei 101] and wrote: "Everything points to a similar fate in Dubai", and that Burj Dubai would "open its doors in the aftermath of the bull market that gave rise to its creation".

SPX vs Jack Gillen’s Sensitive Degrees of the Sun | October 2016

Upcoming turn-days (EDT):
Oct 06 (Thu), Oct 13 (Thu), Oct 21 (Fri), Oct 24 (Mon), Oct 26 (Wed), Nov 02 (Wed).

See also HERE

SPX vs Presidential + Decennial + Annual Cycles | October 2016

Stagnation Generation | UK's Intergenerational Concerns

Millennials are at risk of becoming the first ever generation to record lower lifetime earnings than their predecessors: In contrast
to the taken-for-granted promise that each generation will do better than the last, today’s 27 year olds (born in 1988) are earning
the same amount that 27 year olds did a quarter of a century ago. Indeed, a typical millennial has actually earned £8,000 less during
their twenties than those in the preceding generation – generation X.

Source: Resolution Foundation & Intergenerational Commission (July 2016).

SPX vs Astrometric Indicator | October 2016

Upcoming turn-days:
Oct 01 (Sat), Oct 03 (Mon), Oct 06 (Thu), Oct 11 (Tue), Oct 31 (Mon), Nov 04 (Fri).

SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | October 2016

Upcoming turn-days:
Oct 06 (Thu), Oct 13 (Thu), Oct 23 (Sun), Oct 25 (Tue), Oct 28 (Fri), Nov 04 (Fri), Nov 09 (Wed).

Cosmic Cluster Days | October - November 2016

The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements.
A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel.
Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) are:
Oct 06 (Thu), Oct 09 (Sun), Oct 13 (Thu), Oct 14 (Fri), Oct 15 (Sat), Oct 18 (Tue), Oct 19 (Wed), Oct 25 (Tue), Oct 29 (Sat), Nov 05 (Sat),
Nov 08 (Tue), Nov 16 (Wed), Nov 17 (Thu), Nov 19 (Sat), Nov 22 (Tue), Nov 25 (Fri), Nov 26 (Sat), Nov 27 (Sun), Dec 02 (Fri).

Upcoming CCDs:
Oct 06 (Thu), Oct 09 (Sun), Oct 13 (Thu), Oct 14 (Fri), Oct 15 (Sat), Oct 18 (Tue),
Oct 19 (Wed), Oct 25 (Tue), Oct 29 (Sat), Nov 05 (Sat).